The current study is using a future studies approach to develop and identify the most important effective scenarios for the future of sustainable tourism in Kerman up to 2030.The study purpose is practical and the methods are peperomia double duty documentary and survey methods and the study nature is future studies, analytical and explorative.According to the study nature, Delphi method, structural analysis and Scenario Wizard were applied.Therefore, the ideas of fifteen tourism experts of Kerman were counseled as the study sample, and based on their ideas,15 possible ways for developing the scenarios were evaluated.
The study results indicate that 80% of the states indicate the desirability and 20% of the indicators of stability and crisis of sustainable tourism in Kerman and finally there are three valid scenarios for future developing of tourism.The most optimal group of cent dyyni scenarios belongs to first group which is based on competitiveness, program-oriented and balanced development.